PUBLICATION DATE

1996-11

AUTHORS

Lin Erda

TITLE

Agricultural vulnerability and adaptation to global warming in China

ISSUE

1

VOLUME

92

ISSN (print)

0049-6979

ISSN (electronic)

1573-2932

ABSTRACT

This paper discusses the vulnerability and adaptation of the agricultural sector of China to global warming. Based on a summarization of Chinese agricultural and general circulation model trends, adverse impacts on China's agriculture caused by a warming and drying climate were identified. Because of limited irrigation potential, the sustainable development of Chinese agriculture will be difficult. Six sensitive agricultural areas located on the edges of different agroecological zones, and seven provinces with high vulnerability to the impacts on agriculture, were identified. On the basis of an estimation ofthe potential supply of agricultural products and demand for food, the annual incremental costs for adaptation to climate change would be US$0.8–3.48 billion; without adaptation, the annual agricultural loss due to global warming would be US$1.37–79.98 billion from 2000 to 2050. Adaptive measures discussed include intensive management and the possibility of a tripartite structure of planting that would entail coordinated development of gain crops, feed crops, and cash crops.

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30 TRIPLES      28 PREDICATES      29 URIs      17 LITERALS

Subject Predicate Object
1 articles:253d1758c5b73438e0acb3a1575b4178 sg:abstract Abstract This paper discusses the vulnerability and adaptation of the agricultural sector of China to global warming. Based on a summarization of Chinese agricultural and general circulation model trends, adverse impacts on China's agriculture caused by a warming and drying climate were identified. Because of limited irrigation potential, the sustainable development of Chinese agriculture will be difficult. Six sensitive agricultural areas located on the edges of different agroecological zones, and seven provinces with high vulnerability to the impacts on agriculture, were identified. On the basis of an estimation ofthe potential supply of agricultural products and demand for food, the annual incremental costs for adaptation to climate change would be US$0.8–3.48 billion; without adaptation, the annual agricultural loss due to global warming would be US$1.37–79.98 billion from 2000 to 2050. Adaptive measures discussed include intensive management and the possibility of a tripartite structure of planting that would entail coordinated development of gain crops, feed crops, and cash crops.
2 sg:articleType OriginalPaper
3 sg:coverYear 1996
4 sg:coverYearMonth 1996-11
5 sg:ddsId Art9
6 sg:ddsIdJournalBrand 11270
7 sg:doi 10.1007/BF00175553
8 sg:doiLink http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00175553
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13 sg:hasJournal journals:172b8db1809ae06158ffa0dc17412d92
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15 sg:hasJournalBrand journal-brands:1fdd0c6af626bcfb349e149b4d62e622
16 sg:issnElectronic 1573-2932
17 sg:issnPrint 0049-6979
18 sg:issue 1
19 sg:language English
20 sg:license http://scigraph.springernature.com/explorer/license/
21 sg:pageEnd 73
22 sg:pageStart 63
23 sg:publicationYear 1996
24 sg:publicationYearMonth 1996-11
25 sg:scigraphId 253d1758c5b73438e0acb3a1575b4178
26 sg:title Agricultural vulnerability and adaptation to global warming in China
27 sg:volume 92
28 sg:webpage https://link.springer.com/10.1007/BF00175553
29 rdf:type sg:Article
30 rdfs:label Article: Agricultural vulnerability and adaptation to global warming in China
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