Beyond long-term averages: making biological sense of a rapidly changing world View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2014-12

AUTHORS

Brian Helmuth, Bayden D Russell, Sean D Connell, Yunwei Dong, Christopher DG Harley, Fernando P Lima, Gianluca Sará, Gray A Williams, Nova Mieszkowska

ABSTRACT

Biological responses to climate change are typically communicated in generalized terms such as poleward and altitudinal range shifts, but adaptation efforts relevant to management decisions often require forecasts that incorporate the interaction of multiple climatic and nonclimatic stressors at far smaller spatiotemporal scales. We argue that the desire for generalizations has, ironically, contributed to the frequent conflation of weather with climate, even within the scientific community. As a result, current predictions of ecological responses to climate change, and the design of experiments to understand underlying mechanisms, are too often based on broad-scale trends and averages that at a proximate level may have very little to do with the vulnerability of organisms and ecosystems. The creation of biologically relevant metrics of environmental change that incorporate the physical mechanisms by which climate trains patterns of weather, coupled with knowledge of how organisms and ecosystems respond to these changes, can offer insight into which aspects of climate change may be most important to monitor and predict. This approach also has the potential to enhance our ability to communicate impacts of climate change to nonscientists and especially to stakeholders attempting to enact climate change adaptation policies. More... »

PAGES

6

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1186/s40665-014-0006-0

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40665-014-0006-0

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016960342


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424 schema:name Department of Earth and Marine Science, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
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426 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.12955.3a schema:alternateName Xiamen University
427 schema:name Marine Science Center, Northeastern University, 01908, Nahant, MA, USA
428 State Key Lab of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
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430 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.14335.30 schema:alternateName Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom
431 schema:name Marine Biological Association of the U.K., Plymouth, UK
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433 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.17091.3e schema:alternateName University of British Columbia
434 schema:name Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
435 Department of Zoology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
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437 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.194645.b schema:alternateName University of Hong Kong
438 schema:name School of Biological Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
439 The Swire Institute of Marine Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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441 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.5808.5 schema:alternateName University of Porto
442 schema:name Research Center in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO), University of Porto, Vairão, Portugal
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