The Problems of Seismic Risk Prediction for the Territory of the Lower Amur Region: Paleoseismogeological and Seismological Analysis View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

2018-03

AUTHORS

A. N. Ovsyuchenko, S. V. Trofimenko, S. S. Novikov, A. N. Didenko, V. S. Imaev

ABSTRACT

The studied region is located at the junction between the Pacific and Central Asian seismoactive belts. Macroseismic data on earthquakes of this region are available for the last 150 years, while instrumental seismological observations began in the mid-20th century; however, the recurrence interval of strong earthquakes can be up to several centuries and even thousands of years. In this respect, many areas of the Amur region had been believed to be nearly aseismic until earthquakes occurred there. Paleoseismogeological studies of recent years have allowed the character of Holocene displacements to be estimated for some of the main regional structures. As a result, the main tendencies of the Late Quaternary geological evolution of the region remain uncertain and the potential seismogenerating structures are not completely known. Therefore the problem of revealing new zones and periods of seismic activity is topical for the entire Amur region. The importance of this problem is related to the weak degree of study of the region by contemporary methods of active tectonics, the intensive development of engineering infrastructure, which is vulnerable to seismic impacts, and the necessity of long-term seismic forecasting. The present work provides the results of paleoseismogeological studies of the active faults in the Amur region. On the basis of new data on the magnitude potential of seismogenerating structures based on the magnitudes of historical earthquakes and instrumentally recorded ones, we have estimated the seismic effects from strong deep-focus earthquakes and the attenuation coefficients and calculated radii of the first three isoseismals for crustal earthquakes. By using the methods of statistical modeling, we distinguish the periods when seismic effects increased from earthquakes with 2 ≤ M ≤ 6. It is shown that seismic hazard assessment should take into account the dynamics of the seismic regime, caused by the change of the earthquake source depth. It is found that the epicenters of earthquakes with 5 ≤ M ≤ 6 form non-crossing seismic zones in different phases of changes in the Earth’s annual rotation. More... »

PAGES

135-150

References to SciGraph publications

  • 2012-07. The largest recent earthquake in the Upper Amur region on October 14, 2011: First results of multidisciplinary study in DOKLADY EARTH SCIENCES
  • 2000-08. Klukiopsis jurassica—A new Jurassic schizaeaceous fern from China in SCIENCE CHINA EARTH SCIENCES
  • 2010-01. Seismotectonics of the transitional region from the Baikal Rift Zone to orogenic rise of the Stanovoi range in GEOTECTONICS
  • 2011-04-20. The system of Cenozoic depressions in the Amur and Primorye regions: The structure, tectonic position, and geodynamic interpretation in RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PACIFIC GEOLOGY
  • 2017-03. Spatiotemporal distributions of earthquakes in the northeastern segment of the Amur plate in two phases of variations in the modulus of the Earth’s rotation rate in JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND SEISMOLOGY
  • 2016-07-28. Space-time model for migration of weak earthquakes along the northern boundary of the Amurian microplate in JOURNAL OF SEISMOLOGY
  • 2016-11. Tectonic model of seismicity for the northeastern segment of the Amur Plate in the Earth’s two-phased rotation in RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PACIFIC GEOLOGY
  • 2017-03. Formalized analysis of crustal seismicity in the Sikhote Alin orogen and adjacent areas in RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PACIFIC GEOLOGY
  • 2009-08-12. Detailed geological-geophysical studies of active fault zones and the seismic hazard in the south Yakutia region in RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PACIFIC GEOLOGY
  • 2009-02-17. Source zones of strong earthquakes in southern Yakutia as inferred from paleoseismogeological data in IZVESTIYA, PHYSICS OF THE SOLID EARTH
  • 2008-08-10. GPS measurements (2003–2006) in the Sikhote Alin network, the Far East in RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PACIFIC GEOLOGY
  • 2009-12-02. Morphotectonics of the Lower Amur region in RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PACIFIC GEOLOGY
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    http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/s1819714018020045

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