A Model of the Dynamics of the Third World War — An Exercise in Technology Transfer View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

1981-09

AUTHORS

Geoffrey Coyle

ABSTRACT

The paper discusses two scenarios for a Third World War in Europe, and argues that it is often convenient to supplement a scenario by a formal model. The problems of creating such a model are examined, and a model is formulated for land, air, and sea combat in Europe and the Atlantic, using the System Dynamics approach, which has not hitherto been widely employed for military analysis. The model confirms the results of the two scenarios, and its use for the analysis of alternative force configurations is illustrated. Some implications in the interpretation of Soviet military literature are discussed, and the paper ends with speculations on the role and value of such models. More... »

PAGES

755-765

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1057/jors.1981.153

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jors.1981.153

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002147989


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