A real-time Global Warming Index View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

2017-11-13

AUTHORS

K. Haustein, M. R. Allen, P. M. Forster, F. E. L. Otto, D. M. Mitchell, H. D. Matthews, D. J. Frame

ABSTRACT

We propose a simple real-time index of global human-induced warming and assess its robustness to uncertainties in climate forcing and short-term climate fluctuations. This index provides improved scientific context for temperature stabilisation targets and has the potential to decrease the volatility of climate policy. We quantify uncertainties arising from temperature observations, climate radiative forcings, internal variability and the model response. Our index and the associated rate of human-induced warming is compatible with a range of other more sophisticated methods to estimate the human contribution to observed global temperature change. More... »

PAGES

15417

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  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/s41598-017-14828-5

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-14828-5

    DIMENSIONS

    https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1092580981

    PUBMED

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29133863


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