The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2021-06-07

AUTHORS

Ulf Büntgen, Kathy Allen, Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Dominique Arseneault, Étienne Boucher, Achim Bräuning, Snigdhansu Chatterjee, Paolo Cherubini, Olga V. Churakova (Sidorova), Christophe Corona, Fabio Gennaretti, Jussi Grießinger, Sebastian Guillet, Joel Guiot, Björn Gunnarson, Samuli Helama, Philipp Hochreuther, Malcolm K. Hughes, Peter Huybers, Alexander V. Kirdyanov, Paul J. Krusic, Josef Ludescher, Wolfgang J.-H. Meier, Vladimir S. Myglan, Kurt Nicolussi, Clive Oppenheimer, Frederick Reinig, Matthew W. Salzer, Kristina Seftigen, Alexander R. Stine, Markus Stoffel, Scott St. George, Ernesto Tejedor, Aleyda Trevino, Valerie Trouet, Jianglin Wang, Rob Wilson, Bao Yang, Guobao Xu, Jan Esper

ABSTRACT

Tree-ring chronologies underpin the majority of annually-resolved reconstructions of Common Era climate. However, they are derived using different datasets and techniques, the ramifications of which have hitherto been little explored. Here, we report the results of a double-blind experiment that yielded 15 Northern Hemisphere summer temperature reconstructions from a common network of regional tree-ring width datasets. Taken together as an ensemble, the Common Era reconstruction mean correlates with instrumental temperatures from 1794–2016 CE at 0.79 (p < 0.001), reveals summer cooling in the years following large volcanic eruptions, and exhibits strong warming since the 1980s. Differing in their mean, variance, amplitude, sensitivity, and persistence, the ensemble members demonstrate the influence of subjectivity in the reconstruction process. We therefore recommend the routine use of ensemble reconstruction approaches to provide a more consensual picture of past climate variability. More... »

PAGES

3411

References to SciGraph publications

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  • Journal

    TITLE

    Nature Communications

    ISSUE

    1

    VOLUME

    12

    Author Affiliations

  • Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
  • ARC Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, University of NSW, Sydney, Australia
  • School of Geography, Development, and Environment and Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
  • Department of Biology, Chemistry and Geography, University of Quebec in Rimouski, Rimouski, QC, Canada
  • Centre d’Études Nordiques, Université Laval, Québec, QC, Canada
  • Institute of Geography, Friedrich-Alexander-University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, Erlangen, Germany
  • School of Statistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
  • Swiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
  • Institute of Ecology and Geography, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
  • Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
  • GREMA and Forest Research Institute, Université du Québec en Abitibi‐Témiscamingue, Amos, Canada
  • Aix Marseille University, CNRS, IRD, INRA, Coll France, CEREGE, Aix-en-Provence, France
  • Department of Physical Geography, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
  • Natural Resources Institute Finland, Rovaniemi, Finland
  • Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
  • Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
  • Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
  • Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany
  • Institute of Humanities, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
  • Department of Geography, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
  • McDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, Cambridge, UK
  • Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany
  • Department of Earth Sciences, Goteborg University, Goteborg, Sweden
  • Department of Earth & Climate Sciences, San Francisco State University, San Francisco, CA, USA
  • Department F.-A. Forel for Environmental and Aquatic Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
  • Department of Geography, Environment and Society, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
  • Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany (SUNY), Albany, NY, USA
  • Qinghai Research Centre of Qilian Mountain National Park, Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability and Qinghai Normal University, Xining, China
  • Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA
  • State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/s41467-021-23627-6

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23627-6

    DIMENSIONS

    https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1138655894

    PUBMED

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34099683


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