Closing yield gaps for rice self-sufficiency in China. View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

2019-12

AUTHORS

Nanyan Deng, Patricio Grassini, Haishun Yang, Jianliang Huang, Kenneth G Cassman, Shaobing Peng

ABSTRACT

China produces 28% of global rice supply and is currently self-sufficient despite a massive rural-to-urban demographic transition that drives intense competition for land and water resources. At issue is whether it will remain self-sufficient, which depends on the potential to raise yields on existing rice land. Here we report a detailed spatial analysis of rice production potential in China and evaluate scenarios to 2030. We find that China is likely to remain self-sufficient in rice assuming current yield and consumption trajectories and no reduction in production area. A focus on increasing yields of double-rice systems on general, and in three single-rice provinces where yield gaps are relatively large, would provide greatest return on investments in research and development to remain self-sufficient. Discrepancies between results from our detailed bottom-up yield-gap analysis and those derived following a top-down methodology show that the two approaches would result in very different research and development priorities. More... »

PAGES

1725

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/s41467-019-09447-9

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09447-9

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1113380220

PUBMED

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30979872


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