Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

2012-03-25

AUTHORS

Daniel J. Rowlands, David J. Frame, Duncan Ackerley, Tolu Aina, Ben B. B. Booth, Carl Christensen, Matthew Collins, Nicholas Faull, Chris E. Forest, Benjamin S. Grandey, Edward Gryspeerdt, Eleanor J. Highwood, William J. Ingram, Sylvia Knight, Ana Lopez, Neil Massey, Frances McNamara, Nicolai Meinshausen, Claudio Piani, Suzanne M. Rosier, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Leonard A. Smith, Dáithí A. Stone, Milo Thurston, Kuniko Yamazaki, Y. Hiro Yamazaki, Myles R. Allen

ABSTRACT

The global-mean temperature evolution over the course of the twenty-first century is uncertain. Simulations with an ensemble of thousands of climate models that reproduce observed warming over the past 50 years suggest that a mid-range greenhouse-gas emissions scenario without mitigation could lead to a warming of between 1.4 and 3 K by 2050, relative to 1961–1990. More... »

PAGES

256-260

Journal

TITLE

Nature Geoscience

ISSUE

4

VOLUME

5

Author Affiliations

  • Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, UK
  • Climate Change Research Institute, School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington 6012, New Zealand
  • Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
  • Oxford e-Research Centre, Keble Road, Oxford OX1 3QG, UK
  • Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PU, UK
  • Department of Physics, Atmospheric, Oceanic & Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PU, UK
  • College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QJ, UK
  • Department of Meteorology, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA
  • Royal Meteorological Society, Reading, RG1 7LL, UK
  • Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, Hayes House, 75 George Street, Oxford OX1 2BQ, UK
  • BBC Science, BBC White City, 201 Wood Lane, London W12 7TS, UK
  • Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, 1 South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3TG, UK
  • The American University of Paris, Paris 75007, France
  • NIWA Wellington, 301 Evans Bay Parade, Hataitai, Wellington 6021, New Zealand
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research, 1850 Table Mesa Dr, Boulder, Colorado 80305, USA
  • Pembroke College, Oxford University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 1DW, UK
  • Climate Systems Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch, Cape Town, South Africa
  • School of Geography, Politics and Sociology, Newcastle University, Newcastle on Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/ngeo1430

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1430

    DIMENSIONS

    https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043778742


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