Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle
2013-05
AUTHORSN. W. Arnell, J. A. Lowe, S. Brown, S. N. Gosling, P. Gottschalk, J. Hinkel, B. Lloyd-Hughes, R. J. Nicholls, T. J. Osborn, T. M. Osborne, G. A. Rose, P. Smith, R. F. Warren
ABSTRACTThis study presents the first global-scale multi-sectoral regional assessment of the magnitude and uncertainty in the impacts of climate change avoided by emissions policies. The analysis suggests that the most stringent emissions policy considered here—which gives a 50% chance of remaining below a 2 °C temperature rise target—reduces impacts by 20–65% by 2100 relative to a ‘business-as-usual’ pathway which reaches 4 °C, and can delay impacts by several decades. The effects of mitigation policies vary between sectors and regions, and only a few are noticeable by 2030. The impacts avoided by 2100 are more strongly influenced by the date and level at which emissions peak than the rate of decline of emissions, with an earlier and lower emissions peak avoiding more impacts. The estimated proportion of impacts avoided at the global scale is relatively robust despite uncertainty in the spatial pattern of climate change, but the absolute amount of avoided impacts is considerably more variable and therefore uncertain. More... »
PAGES512
http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/nclimate1793
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1793
DIMENSIONShttps://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1015666115
JSON-LD is the canonical representation for SciGraph data.
TIP: You can open this SciGraph record using an external JSON-LD service: JSON-LD Playground Google SDTT
[
{
"@context": "https://springernature.github.io/scigraph/jsonld/sgcontext.json",
"about": [
{
"id": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/1402",
"inDefinedTermSet": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/",
"name": "Applied Economics",
"type": "DefinedTerm"
},
{
"id": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/14",
"inDefinedTermSet": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/",
"name": "Economics",
"type": "DefinedTerm"
}
],
"author": [
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Reading",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.9435.b",
"name": [
"Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Arnell",
"givenName": "N. W.",
"id": "sg:person.0743535320.29",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.0743535320.29"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "Met Office",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.17100.37",
"name": [
"Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Lowe",
"givenName": "J. A.",
"id": "sg:person.011066117233.90",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.011066117233.90"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Southampton",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.5491.9",
"name": [
"University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK",
"Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Brown",
"givenName": "S.",
"id": "sg:person.0762726503.41",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.0762726503.41"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Nottingham",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.4563.4",
"name": [
"University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Gosling",
"givenName": "S. N.",
"id": "sg:person.01257312051.24",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.01257312051.24"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Aberdeen",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.7107.1",
"name": [
"PIK, Potsdam, PO Box 60 12 03, Germany",
"University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Gottschalk",
"givenName": "P.",
"id": "sg:person.011263600271.21",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.011263600271.21"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.4556.2",
"name": [
"PIK, Potsdam, PO Box 60 12 03, Germany"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Hinkel",
"givenName": "J.",
"id": "sg:person.016162623273.57",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.016162623273.57"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Reading",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.9435.b",
"name": [
"Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Lloyd-Hughes",
"givenName": "B.",
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Southampton",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.5491.9",
"name": [
"University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK",
"Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Nicholls",
"givenName": "R. J.",
"id": "sg:person.01114771330.10",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.01114771330.10"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of East Anglia",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.8273.e",
"name": [
"University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Osborn",
"givenName": "T. J.",
"id": "sg:person.01137064640.48",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.01137064640.48"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Reading",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.9435.b",
"name": [
"Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Osborne",
"givenName": "T. M.",
"id": "sg:person.016373431173.66",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.016373431173.66"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Reading",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.9435.b",
"name": [
"Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Rose",
"givenName": "G. A.",
"id": "sg:person.014070263363.28",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.014070263363.28"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of Aberdeen",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.7107.1",
"name": [
"University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Smith",
"givenName": "P.",
"id": "sg:person.01317775541.82",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.01317775541.82"
],
"type": "Person"
},
{
"affiliation": {
"alternateName": "University of East Anglia",
"id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.8273.e",
"name": [
"Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK",
"University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK"
],
"type": "Organization"
},
"familyName": "Warren",
"givenName": "R. F.",
"id": "sg:person.012216124031.98",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.012216124031.98"
],
"type": "Person"
}
],
"citation": [
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl047678",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1001498420"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00687.x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1004901191"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00687.x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1004901191"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-7-2287-2007",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1004985590"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0404500101",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1008816374"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2008.09.051",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1009520846"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034013",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1010028348"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-88-9-1383",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1010559256"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.07.006",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1014277838"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.001075.x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1014972794"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.001075.x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1014972794"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.001075.x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1014972794"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10750-006-0413-8",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1015112737",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-006-0413-8"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0812721106",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016312707"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.2112/06-0725.1",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016405988"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043730",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016635449"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s11027-007-9138-x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1017575609",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-007-9138-x"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2008gl037074",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1020197718"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2008gl037074",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1020197718"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.015",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1020479031"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.01.002",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1025303712"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9172-9",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1026244696",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9172-9"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1023/b:clim.0000024781.48904.45",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1027961760",
"https://doi.org/10.1023/b:clim.0000024781.48904.45"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9663-6",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028986318",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9663-6"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9663-6",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028986318",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9663-6"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9663-6",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028986318",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9663-6"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1466-822x.2002.00294.x",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1029926135"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.027",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1032657367"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.021",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1032710257"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/1999gl011213",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1034968222"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2007gb002952",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1037338284"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3711",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1038108572"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.03.002",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1039018742"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1040018244"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/98gl01855",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1042563718"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature08019",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043412555",
"https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08019"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature08019",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043412555",
"https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08019"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9183-6",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1046565588",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9183-6"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9183-6",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1046565588",
"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9183-6"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.11.001",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1046629192"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3151-2012",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1048043461"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.04.005",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1048825699"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "sg:pub.10.1023/a:1015277014327",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050327993",
"https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1015277014327"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/4/1/014012",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050512211"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/4/1/014012",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050512211"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7727",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051418483"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-1417-2011",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1052721753"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
},
{
"id": "https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0405522101",
"sameAs": [
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1052797126"
],
"type": "CreativeWork"
}
],
"datePublished": "2013-05",
"datePublishedReg": "2013-05-01",
"description": "This study presents the first global-scale multi-sectoral regional assessment of the magnitude and uncertainty in the impacts of climate change avoided by emissions policies. The analysis suggests that the most stringent emissions policy considered here\u2014which gives a 50% chance of remaining below a 2 \u00b0C temperature rise target\u2014reduces impacts by 20\u201365% by 2100 relative to a \u2018business-as-usual\u2019 pathway which reaches 4 \u00b0C, and can delay impacts by several decades. The effects of mitigation policies vary between sectors and regions, and only a few are noticeable by 2030. The impacts avoided by 2100 are more strongly influenced by the date and level at which emissions peak than the rate of decline of emissions, with an earlier and lower emissions peak avoiding more impacts. The estimated proportion of impacts avoided at the global scale is relatively robust despite uncertainty in the spatial pattern of climate change, but the absolute amount of avoided impacts is considerably more variable and therefore uncertain.",
"genre": "research_article",
"id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1793",
"inLanguage": [
"en"
],
"isAccessibleForFree": false,
"isFundedItemOf": [
{
"id": "sg:grant.2774290",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2773753",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2775829",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2751833",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2777611",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2755224",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2776361",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2784157",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2751981",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2771027",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2753068",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2766728",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
},
{
"id": "sg:grant.2782586",
"type": "MonetaryGrant"
}
],
"isPartOf": [
{
"id": "sg:journal.1044959",
"issn": [
"1758-678X",
"1758-6798"
],
"name": "Nature Climate Change",
"type": "Periodical"
},
{
"issueNumber": "5",
"type": "PublicationIssue"
},
{
"type": "PublicationVolume",
"volumeNumber": "3"
}
],
"name": "A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change",
"pagination": "512",
"productId": [
{
"name": "readcube_id",
"type": "PropertyValue",
"value": [
"4aa42fe4d7f5163cb271434d05561f2f67b020108be1efa3ed4db37b83426f03"
]
},
{
"name": "doi",
"type": "PropertyValue",
"value": [
"10.1038/nclimate1793"
]
},
{
"name": "dimensions_id",
"type": "PropertyValue",
"value": [
"pub.1015666115"
]
}
],
"sameAs": [
"https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1793",
"https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1015666115"
],
"sdDataset": "articles",
"sdDatePublished": "2019-04-11T01:48",
"sdLicense": "https://scigraph.springernature.com/explorer/license/",
"sdPublisher": {
"name": "Springer Nature - SN SciGraph project",
"type": "Organization"
},
"sdSource": "s3://com-uberresearch-data-dimensions-target-20181106-alternative/cleanup/v134/2549eaecd7973599484d7c17b260dba0a4ecb94b/merge/v9/a6c9fde33151104705d4d7ff012ea9563521a3ce/jats-lookup/v90/0000000001_0000000264/records_8700_00000435.jsonl",
"type": "ScholarlyArticle",
"url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate1793"
}
]
Download the RDF metadata as: json-ld nt turtle xml License info
JSON-LD is a popular format for linked data which is fully compatible with JSON.
curl -H 'Accept: application/ld+json' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/nclimate1793'
N-Triples is a line-based linked data format ideal for batch operations.
curl -H 'Accept: application/n-triples' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/nclimate1793'
Turtle is a human-readable linked data format.
curl -H 'Accept: text/turtle' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/nclimate1793'
RDF/XML is a standard XML format for linked data.
curl -H 'Accept: application/rdf+xml' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/nclimate1793'
This table displays all metadata directly associated to this object as RDF triples.
316 TRIPLES
21 PREDICATES
66 URIs
19 LITERALS
7 BLANK NODES