Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

2006-04-01

AUTHORS

Gabriele C. Hegerl, Thomas J. Crowley, William T. Hyde, David J. Frame

ABSTRACT

Back to the futureThe scale of any future global warming will depend on the sensitivity of the climate system to changes in greenhouse gas concentrations. Past climate is a useful guide to future events and now a new estimate of climate sensitivity, based on reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere temperature in the pre-industrial period 1270–1850, provides the best guide yet. It was thought that the upper limit of climate sensitivity (global mean temperature change due to CO2 doubling) was between 7.7 °C and above 9 °C. But the new model suggests a small probability that climate sensitivity will exceed 6.2 °C. More... »

PAGES

1029-1032

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/nature04679

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature04679

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1000598947

PUBMED

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16625192


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