The influence of solar forcing trends on global mean temperature since 1861 View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

1990-10

AUTHORS

P. M. Kelly, T. M. L. Wigley

ABSTRACT

IT has been suggested1–5 that solar variability may be a significant contributor to the long-term warming trend that has been observed in global mean surface air temperature since the mid-nineteenth century. Here we consider the role of long-term solar irradiance changes associated with sunspot fluctuations, extending an earlier analysis by Reid4. We find that solar variability is unlikely to have accounted for more than a small fraction of the observed warming. More... »

PAGES

460-462

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1038/347460a0

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/347460a0

DIMENSIONS

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