The Sensitivity of Australian Fire Danger to Climate Change View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

2001-04

AUTHORS

Allyson A. J. Williams, David J. Karoly, Nigel Tapper

ABSTRACT

Global climate change, such as that due to the proposed enhanced greenhouseeffect, is likely tohave a significant effect on biosphere-atmosphere interactions, includingbushfire regimes. Thisstudy quantifies the possible impact of climate change on fire regimes byestimating changes infire weather and the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FDI), an index thatis used throughoutAustralia to estimate fire danger. The CSIRO 9-level general circulation model(CSIRO9 GCM)is used to simulate daily and seasonal fire danger for the present Australianclimate and for adoubled-CO2 climate. The impact assessment includes validation ofthe GCMs daily controlsimulation and the derivation of ‘correction factors’ which improve theaccuracy of the firedanger simulation. In summary, the general impact of doubled-CO2is to increase firedanger at all sites by increasing the number of days of very high and extremefire danger.Seasonal fire danger responds most to the large CO2-induced changesin maximumtemperature. More... »

PAGES

171-191

Journal

TITLE

Climatic Change

ISSUE

1-2

VOLUME

49

Author Affiliations

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1023/a:1010706116176

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/a:1010706116176

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1012855682


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