The incorporation of extreme drought events improves models for beech persistence at its distribution limit View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2013-11-29

AUTHORS

Ervin Rasztovits, Imre Berki, Csaba Mátyás, Kornél Czimber, Elisabeth Pötzelsberger, Norbert Móricz

ABSTRACT

ContextProjections of species distribution models under future climate are usually based on long-term averages. However, singular extreme drought events presumably contribute to the shaping of distribution limits at the retreating low-elevation xeric limits.MethodsThe objectives of this study were to set up a distribution model based on extreme drought events (EDM), which uses sanitary logging information as a proxy of vitality response of beech, and compare it with the results of classical species distribution models (SDMs).ResultsPredictions of the EDM for 2025 were in agreement with those of the SDM, but EDM predicted a more serious decline in all regions of Hungary towards the end of the century.ConclusionThese results suggest that the predicted increase in frequency and severity of drought events may further limit the distribution of beech in the future. More... »

PAGES

201-210

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s13595-013-0346-0

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13595-013-0346-0

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1041984196


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182 grid-institutes:grid.5173.0 schema:alternateName Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest- and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences Vienna, Peter Jordan str. 82, 1190, Vienna, Austria
183 schema:name Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest- and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences Vienna, Peter Jordan str. 82, 1190, Vienna, Austria
184 rdf:type schema:Organization
 




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