Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle Open Access: True
2013-11-29
AUTHORSErvin Rasztovits, Imre Berki, Csaba Mátyás, Kornél Czimber, Elisabeth Pötzelsberger, Norbert Móricz
ABSTRACTContextProjections of species distribution models under future climate are usually based on long-term averages. However, singular extreme drought events presumably contribute to the shaping of distribution limits at the retreating low-elevation xeric limits.MethodsThe objectives of this study were to set up a distribution model based on extreme drought events (EDM), which uses sanitary logging information as a proxy of vitality response of beech, and compare it with the results of classical species distribution models (SDMs).ResultsPredictions of the EDM for 2025 were in agreement with those of the SDM, but EDM predicted a more serious decline in all regions of Hungary towards the end of the century.ConclusionThese results suggest that the predicted increase in frequency and severity of drought events may further limit the distribution of beech in the future. More... »
PAGES201-210
http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s13595-013-0346-0
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13595-013-0346-0
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