Job Displacement and First Birth Over the Business Cycle View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2017-06-05

AUTHORS

Barbara Hofmann, Michaela Kreyenfeld, Arne Uhlendorff

ABSTRACT

In this article, we investigate the impact of job displacement on women’s first-birth rates as well as the variation in this effect over the business cycle. We use mass layoffs to estimate the causal effects of involuntary job loss on fertility in the short and medium term, up to five years after displacement. Our analysis is based on rich administrative data from Germany, with an observation period spanning more than 20 years. We apply inverse probability weighting (IPW) to flexibly control for the observed differences between women who were and were not displaced. To account for the differences in the composition of the women who were displaced in a downturn and the women who were displaced in an upswing, we use a double weighting estimator. Results show that the extent to which job displacement has adverse effects on fertility depends on the business cycle. The first-birth rates were much lower for women who were displaced in an economic downturn than for those who lost a job in an economic upturn. This result cannot be explained by changes in the observed characteristics of the displaced women over the business cycle. More... »

PAGES

933-959

References to SciGraph publications

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  • 2007-12-05. Fertility and Women’s Employment: A Meta-analysis in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION
  • 2012-11-20. Vouchers and caseworkers in training programs for the unemployed in EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS
  • 2000-12. The Impact of Labour-Force Participation on Childbearing Behaviour: Pro-Cyclical Fertility in Sweden during the 1980s and the 1990s in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION
  • 2010-10-17. Where Are the Babies? Labor Market Conditions and Fertility in Europe in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION
  • 2000-05. Gender equity, social institutions and the future of fertility in JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH
  • 2012-06-05. A Cross-National Perspective on Unemployment and First Births in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION
  • 2009-05. Motherhood, labor force behavior, and women’s careers: An empirical assessment of the wage penalty for motherhood in britain, germany, and the united states in DEMOGRAPHY
  • 2006-12-15. The impact of the labour market on the timing of marriage and births in Spain in JOURNAL OF POPULATION ECONOMICS
  • 2011-11-15. Lost jobs, broken marriages in JOURNAL OF POPULATION ECONOMICS
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s13524-017-0580-4

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-017-0580-4

    DIMENSIONS

    https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1085862251

    PUBMED

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28585024


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