Sleeping Beauty Goes to the Lab: The Psychology of Self-Locating Evidence View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2019-03

AUTHORS

Matteo Colombo, Jun Lai, Vincenzo Crupi

ABSTRACT

Analyses of the Sleeping Beauty Problem are polarised between those advocating the “1/2 view” (“halfers”) and those endorsing the “1/3 view” (“thirders”). The disagreement concerns the evidential relevance of self-locating information. Unlike halfers, thirders regard self-locating information as evidentially relevant in the Sleeping Beauty Problem. In the present study, we systematically manipulate the kind of information available in different formulations of the Sleeping Beauty Problem. Our findings indicate that patterns of judgment on different formulations of the Sleeping Beauty Problem do not fit either the “1/2 view” or the “1/3 view.” Human reasoners tend to acknowledge self-locating evidence as relevant, but discount its weight significantly. Accordingly, self-locating information may trigger more cautious judgments of confirmation than familiar kinds of statistical evidence. We also discuss how these results can advance the debate by providing a more nuanced and empirically grounded account or explication of the evidential impact of self-locating information. More... »

PAGES

173-185

References to SciGraph publications

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  • 2015-04. X-Phi and Carnapian Explication in ERKENNTNIS
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  • 2013-10. The evidential relevance of self-locating information in PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES
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  • 2007-10. Determinants of confirmation in BULLETIN OF THE PSYCHONOMIC SOCIETY
  • 2007-07. Sleeping Beauty and Self-location: A Hybrid Model in SYNTHESE
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    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s13164-018-0381-8

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13164-018-0381-8

    DIMENSIONS

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