Comparative analysis of vital parameters of extremely severe cyclonic storms Phailin and Hudhud over the Bay of Bengal View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

2021-11-19

AUTHORS

M Mohapatra, M Sharma

ABSTRACT

Research highlightsThe damage potential and losses were higher in case of tropical cyclone (TC) Phailin due to higher intensity, rapid intensification, longer duration in very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS)/extremely severe cyclonic storm (ESCS) stage, lower rate of decay after landfall and larger size as compared to TC Hudhud.The introduction of Doppler Weather Radars in recent years and improved modelling capabilities blended with subjective value addition through synoptic guidance enabled IMD to accurately monitor the track, intensity and landfall characteristics of these TCs.Though, the track forecast difficulty was higher in case of Hudhud as compared to Phailin, the errors were less in Hudhud and its forecast was more skillful due to improvements in numerical weather prediction (NWP) modelling in 2014. However, the intensity forecast difficulty was higher in case of Phailin as compared to Hudhud due to rapid intensification which could not be predicted by the dynamical and statistical models of India Meteorological Department (IMD).There is scope to improve NWP models and hence the operational intensity forecast especially rapid intensification forecasting.AbstractTwo extremely severe cyclonic storms (ESCSs) Phailin and Hudhud developed over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) during October 2013 and 2014 and crossed the east coast of India near Gopalpur (Odisha) and Visakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh) at 1700 UTC of 12th October 2013 and 0700 UTC of 12th October 2014, respectively, causing immense loss of property. Considering the devastating effect associated with the typical characteristics of the two tropical cyclones (TCs) and their occurrence during same period of the post-monsoon season, a study has been undertaken to compare the vital parameters including location, movement, intensity, size, etc., of these TCs. The results of this study can be utilized for better understanding and prediction of structural characteristics of TCs over the north Indian Ocean (NIO) and hence the associated adverse weather like heavy rain, gale wind and storm surge. The higher intensity, higher rate of intensification, longer duration in very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS) or higher stage, lower rate of decay after landfall and larger size were the typical characteristics in the case of TC Phailin leading to its higher damage potential in terms of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and hence higher loss in terms of power dissipation index (PDI) as compared to TC Hudhud. More... »

PAGES

233

References to SciGraph publications

  • 2013-06-13. Evaluation of official tropical cyclone track forecast over north Indian Ocean issued by India Meteorological Department in JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE
  • 2014. Construction and Quality of Best Tracks Parameters for Study of Climate Change Impact on Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian Ocean during Satellite Era in MONITORING AND PREDICTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE INDIAN OCEAN AND CLIMATE CHANGE
  • 2013-03-14. Evaluation of operational tropical cyclone intensity forecasts over north Indian Ocean issued by India Meteorological Department in NATURAL HAZARDS
  • 2017-11-08. Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationship in NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
  • 2015-10-01. Characteristics of surface wind structure of tropical cyclones over the north Indian Ocean in JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE
  • 2016-11-27. Some Characteristics of Translational Speed of Cyclonic Disturbances Over North Indian Ocean in Recent Years in TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
  • 2016-11-27. Life Period of Cyclonic Disturbances Over the North Indian Ocean During Recent Years in TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
  • 2015-06-09. Evaluation of official tropical cyclone landfall forecast issued by India Meteorological Department in JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE
  • 2005-07-31. Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years in NATURE
  • 2016-11-27. Standard Operation Procedure for Tropical Cyclone Vital Parameters over North Indian Ocean in TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
  • 2014. Status and Plans for Operational Tropical Cyclone Forecasting and Warning Systems in the North Indian Ocean Region in MONITORING AND PREDICTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE INDIAN OCEAN AND CLIMATE CHANGE
  • 2011-08-04. Classification of cyclone hazard prone districts of India in NATURAL HAZARDS
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