The potential of species distribution modelling for reintroduction projects: the case study of the Chequered Skipper in England View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2019-04-15

AUTHORS

Dirk Maes, Sam Ellis, Philippe Goffart, Katie L. Cruickshanks, Chris A. M. van Swaay, Ruddy Cors, Marc Herremans, Kristijn R. R. Swinnen, Carine Wils, Sofie Verhulst, Luc De Bruyn, Erik Matthysen, Susannah O’Riordan, Daniel J. Hoare, Nigel A. D. Bourn

ABSTRACT

The Chequered Skipper Carterocephalus palaemon inhabits a variety of habitats in NW Europe: heathlands, wet grasslands and chalk grasslands, usually at woodland edges and wide rides and glades in different types of woodlands. It mainly uses broadleaved grasses such as Molinia, Calamagrostis and Brachypodium as host plants. The species became extinct in England in 1976 and an earlier reintroduction attempt in 1995–1999 was unsuccessful. Using species distribution models, we located potential source regions in NW Europe for its reintroduction to England. To do so, we gathered distribution data of the butterfly and environmental variables (Corine Land Cover and climate data) from four regions in Belgium (Belgian Campine, Fagne–Famenne–Calestienne, Ardenne–Thiérache and Gaume–Lorraine), two in the Netherlands (Achterhoek and Dutch Campine) and one in the United Kingdom (Argyll, Scotland). We calibrated the models in these regions and projected them to the Rockingham Forest landscape, the reintroduction site in England. The Fagne–Famenne–Calestienne and the Gaume–Lorraine model resulted in the highest average probability when projected to the Rockingham Forest landscape. Based on additional expert knowledge on potential host plant abundance and the presence of large source populations, the Fagne–Famenne–Calestienne was selected as the source region for the reintroduction of the Chequered Skipper to England. To assess the possible impact of climate change, we also built a model with present-day climate data in NW Europe and modelled the probability of occurrence in the Rockingham Forest landscape in the year 2070. The species was predicted to increase in the Rockingham Forest landscape under future climate conditions. More... »

PAGES

419-431

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10841-019-00154-w

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10841-019-00154-w

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1113481718


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15 schema:description The Chequered Skipper Carterocephalus palaemon inhabits a variety of habitats in NW Europe: heathlands, wet grasslands and chalk grasslands, usually at woodland edges and wide rides and glades in different types of woodlands. It mainly uses broadleaved grasses such as Molinia, Calamagrostis and Brachypodium as host plants. The species became extinct in England in 1976 and an earlier reintroduction attempt in 1995–1999 was unsuccessful. Using species distribution models, we located potential source regions in NW Europe for its reintroduction to England. To do so, we gathered distribution data of the butterfly and environmental variables (Corine Land Cover and climate data) from four regions in Belgium (Belgian Campine, Fagne–Famenne–Calestienne, Ardenne–Thiérache and Gaume–Lorraine), two in the Netherlands (Achterhoek and Dutch Campine) and one in the United Kingdom (Argyll, Scotland). We calibrated the models in these regions and projected them to the Rockingham Forest landscape, the reintroduction site in England. The Fagne–Famenne–Calestienne and the Gaume–Lorraine model resulted in the highest average probability when projected to the Rockingham Forest landscape. Based on additional expert knowledge on potential host plant abundance and the presence of large source populations, the Fagne–Famenne–Calestienne was selected as the source region for the reintroduction of the Chequered Skipper to England. To assess the possible impact of climate change, we also built a model with present-day climate data in NW Europe and modelled the probability of occurrence in the Rockingham Forest landscape in the year 2070. The species was predicted to increase in the Rockingham Forest landscape under future climate conditions.
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22 schema:keywords Belgium
23 Brachypodium
24 Calamagrostis
25 Calestienne
26 Carterocephalus palaemon
27 Chequered Skipper Carterocephalus palaemon
28 England
29 Europe
30 Fagne–Famenne
31 Gaume–Lorraine model
32 Kingdom
33 Molinia
34 NW Europe
35 Netherlands
36 Palaemon
37 Rockingham Forest landscape
38 Skipper Carterocephalus palaemon
39 United Kingdom
40 abundance
41 additional expert knowledge
42 attempt
43 average probability
44 broadleaved grasses
45 butterflies
46 case study
47 chalk grassland
48 changes
49 climate change
50 climate conditions
51 climate data
52 conditions
53 data
54 different types
55 distribution
56 distribution data
57 distribution model
58 earlier reintroduction attempt
59 edge
60 environmental variables
61 expert knowledge
62 forest landscapes
63 future climate conditions
64 glades
65 grass
66 grasslands
67 habitats
68 heathland
69 highest average probability
70 host plant abundance
71 host plants
72 impact
73 knowledge
74 landscape
75 large source population
76 model
77 occurrence
78 plant abundance
79 plants
80 population
81 possible impact
82 potential
83 potential host plant abundance
84 potential source regions
85 presence
86 present-day climate data
87 probability
88 probability of occurrence
89 project
90 region
91 reintroduction
92 reintroduction attempts
93 reintroduction projects
94 reintroduction sites
95 ride
96 sites
97 skippers
98 source population
99 source region
100 species
101 species distribution
102 species distribution models
103 study
104 types
105 variables
106 variety
107 variety of habitats
108 wet grasslands
109 wide rides
110 woodland
111 woodland edges
112 year 2070
113 schema:name The potential of species distribution modelling for reintroduction projects: the case study of the Chequered Skipper in England
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