Case Study Part 2: Probabilistic Modelling of Long-term Effects of Pesticides on Individual Breeding Success in Birds and Mammals View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

2005-11-23

AUTHORS

W. ROELOFS, D.R. CROCKER, R.F. SHORE, D.R.J. MOORE, G.C. SMITH, H.R. AKCAKAYA, R.S. BENNETT, P.F. CHAPMAN, M. CLOOK, M. CRANE, I.C. DEWHURST, P.J. EDWARDS, A. FAIRBROTHER, S. FERSON, D. FISCHER, A.D.M. HART, M. HOLMES, M.J. HOOPER, M. LAVINE, A. LEOPOLD, R. LUTTIK, P. MINEAU, S.R. MORTENSON, D.G. NOBLE, R.J. O’CONNOR, R.M. SIBLY, M. SPENDIFF, T.A. SPRINGER, H.M. THOMPSON, C. TOPPING

ABSTRACT

Long term exposure of skylarks to a fictitious insecticide and of wood mice to a fictitious fungicide were modelled probabilistically in a Monte Carlo simulation. Within the same simulation the consequences of exposure to pesticides on reproductive success were modelled using the toxicity–exposure-linking rules developed by R.S. Bennet et al. (2005) and the interspecies extrapolation factors suggested by R. Luttik et al. (2005). We built models to reflect a range of scenarios and as a result were able to show how exposure to pesticide might alter the number of individuals engaged in any given phase of the breeding cycle at any given time and predict the numbers of new adults at the season’s end. More... »

PAGES

895-923

Journal

TITLE

Ecotoxicology

ISSUE

8

VOLUME

14

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10646-005-0035-3

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10646-005-0035-3

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1029580452

PUBMED

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16328714


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