Understanding Hurricane Evacuation Decisions Under Contingent Scenarios: A Stated Preference Approach View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

2018-10

AUTHORS

Pallab Mozumder, William F. Vásquez

ABSTRACT

We conduct a stated preference analysis to understand the factors that individual households take into consideration to evacuate during hurricanes. In designing the contingent scenarios for evacuation, we randomly assign varying levels of hurricane characteristics (wind speed, lead time for landfall and the height of storm surge) combined with different types of emergency management options (voluntary versus mandatory evacuation order and a voucher with varying amounts to cover evacuation expenses). Findings indicate that individual households respond, in a non-linear fashion, to the intensity of hurricanes when making evacuation decisions. Respondents are also more likely to evacuate when the storm surge reaches a certain threshold. In terms of policy interventions, mandatory evacuation orders are more effective to increase the likelihood of evacuation. The potential intervention in the form of providing evacuation vouchers to assist households to cover their expenses (e.g. for food, water, transportation and lodging) also seems effective. We discuss policy implications of our findings. More... »

PAGES

407-425

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10640-017-0163-2

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-017-0163-2

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1085865579


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