Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

2014-02

AUTHORS

Claudia Tebaldi, Julie M. Arblaster

ABSTRACT

We review the ideas behind the pattern scaling technique, and focus on its value and limitations given its use for impact assessment and within integrated assessment models. We present estimates of patterns for temperature and precipitation change from the latest transient simulations available from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), focusing on multi-model mean patterns, and characterizing the sources of variability of these patterns across models and scenarios. The patterns are compared to those obtained from the previous set of experiments, under CMIP3. We estimate the significance of the emerging differences between CMIP3 and CMIP5 results through a bootstrap exercise, while also taking into account the fundamental differences in scenario and model ensemble composition. All in all, the robustness of the geographical features in patterns of temperature and precipitation, when computed as multi-model means, is confirmed by this comparison. The intensity of the change (in both the warmer and cooler areas with respect to global temperature change, and the drier and wetter regions) is overall heightened per degree of global warming in the ensemble mean of the new simulations. The presence of stabilized scenarios in the new set of simulations allows investigation of the performance of the technique once the system has gotten close to equilibrium. Overall, the well established validity of the technique in approximating the forced signal of change under increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases is confirmed. More... »

PAGES

459-471

References to SciGraph publications

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1023842732


Indexing Status Check whether this publication has been indexed by Scopus and Web Of Science using the SN Indexing Status Tool
Incoming Citations Browse incoming citations for this publication using opencitations.net

JSON-LD is the canonical representation for SciGraph data.

TIP: You can open this SciGraph record using an external JSON-LD service: JSON-LD Playground Google SDTT

[
  {
    "@context": "https://springernature.github.io/scigraph/jsonld/sgcontext.json", 
    "about": [
      {
        "id": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/0401", 
        "inDefinedTermSet": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/", 
        "name": "Atmospheric Sciences", 
        "type": "DefinedTerm"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/04", 
        "inDefinedTermSet": "http://purl.org/au-research/vocabulary/anzsrc-for/2008/", 
        "name": "Earth Sciences", 
        "type": "DefinedTerm"
      }
    ], 
    "author": [
      {
        "affiliation": {
          "alternateName": "National Center for Atmospheric Research", 
          "id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.57828.30", 
          "name": [
            "Climate and Global Dynamics, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), 1850 Table Mesa dr., 80305, Boulder, CO, USA"
          ], 
          "type": "Organization"
        }, 
        "familyName": "Tebaldi", 
        "givenName": "Claudia", 
        "id": "sg:person.015561030205.29", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.015561030205.29"
        ], 
        "type": "Person"
      }, 
      {
        "affiliation": {
          "alternateName": "Bureau of Meteorology", 
          "id": "https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.1527.1", 
          "name": [
            "NCAR and Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia"
          ], 
          "type": "Organization"
        }, 
        "familyName": "Arblaster", 
        "givenName": "Julie M.", 
        "id": "sg:person.011452203137.38", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.011452203137.38"
        ], 
        "type": "Person"
      }
    ], 
    "citation": [
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1001203373", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl049863", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1001874069"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1716", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002144786", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1716"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50256", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002331309"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002503490", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002503490", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0283", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1003324317"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-011-0076-y", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1003939402", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0076-y"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3721:conaaf>2.0.co;2", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1005958485"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature08823", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1006069800", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature08823", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1006069800", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00189.x", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1007670163"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-012-0430-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1008166853", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0430-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-88-9-1383", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1010559256"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1571-1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1012359911", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1571-1"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034009", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1013942303"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0812721106", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016312707"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jd009254", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016330405"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043730", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016635449"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1018059990", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1018059990", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021241034", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0601798103", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021354878"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd005919", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021842425"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd005919", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021842425"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021861148", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3607", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1022089221"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli1763.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1022671741"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli2119.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1023901703"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052665", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1024425361"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3659", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1026912976"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-2009-2010", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1027734743"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1890/11-0314.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028096299"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1562", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028376412", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1562"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3361.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1030337444"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jcli3873.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1032186248"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1556", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1034463263"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1023/a:1026035305597", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1035832790", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1026035305597"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2076", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1038869427"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1042898397", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1042898397", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl046864", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043462392"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature05095", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043618867", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05095"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature05095", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043618867", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05095"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1038/nature05095", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043618867", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05095"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1023/a:1005466909820", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1045135939", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1005466909820"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1045216985", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1045216985", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1980)037<0099:otdocc>2.0.co;2", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1047497524"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00285.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1048238456"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1287-2", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1048486891", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1287-2"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050447974", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl050738", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050552335"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00114-6", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050821126"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl045137", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051794763"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051805105"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051943278", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051943278", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1052171603", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1052171603", 
          "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2077", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1053387847"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.1175/2009bams2607.1", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1063454096"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "https://doi.org/10.22499/2.6104.003", 
        "sameAs": [
          "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1083991114"
        ], 
        "type": "CreativeWork"
      }
    ], 
    "datePublished": "2014-02", 
    "datePublishedReg": "2014-02-01", 
    "description": "We review the ideas behind the pattern scaling technique, and focus on its value and limitations given its use for impact assessment and within integrated assessment models. We present estimates of patterns for temperature and precipitation change from the latest transient simulations available from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), focusing on multi-model mean patterns, and characterizing the sources of variability of these patterns across models and scenarios. The patterns are compared to those obtained from the previous set of experiments, under CMIP3. We estimate the significance of the emerging differences between CMIP3 and CMIP5 results through a bootstrap exercise, while also taking into account the fundamental differences in scenario and model ensemble composition. All in all, the robustness of the geographical features in patterns of temperature and precipitation, when computed as multi-model means, is confirmed by this comparison. The intensity of the change (in both the warmer and cooler areas with respect to global temperature change, and the drier and wetter regions) is overall heightened per degree of global warming in the ensemble mean of the new simulations. The presence of stabilized scenarios in the new set of simulations allows investigation of the performance of the technique once the system has gotten close to equilibrium. Overall, the well established validity of the technique in approximating the forced signal of change under increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases is confirmed.", 
    "genre": "research_article", 
    "id": "sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9", 
    "inLanguage": [
      "en"
    ], 
    "isAccessibleForFree": false, 
    "isFundedItemOf": [
      {
        "id": "sg:grant.4322309", 
        "type": "MonetaryGrant"
      }, 
      {
        "id": "sg:grant.4320585", 
        "type": "MonetaryGrant"
      }
    ], 
    "isPartOf": [
      {
        "id": "sg:journal.1028211", 
        "issn": [
          "0165-0009", 
          "1573-1480"
        ], 
        "name": "Climatic Change", 
        "type": "Periodical"
      }, 
      {
        "issueNumber": "3", 
        "type": "PublicationIssue"
      }, 
      {
        "type": "PublicationVolume", 
        "volumeNumber": "122"
      }
    ], 
    "name": "Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations", 
    "pagination": "459-471", 
    "productId": [
      {
        "name": "readcube_id", 
        "type": "PropertyValue", 
        "value": [
          "719705f12cc380e8b635b0a07f80c9b42b89688cd6d0f8c07c9b02344e032b4f"
        ]
      }, 
      {
        "name": "doi", 
        "type": "PropertyValue", 
        "value": [
          "10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9"
        ]
      }, 
      {
        "name": "dimensions_id", 
        "type": "PropertyValue", 
        "value": [
          "pub.1023842732"
        ]
      }
    ], 
    "sameAs": [
      "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9", 
      "https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1023842732"
    ], 
    "sdDataset": "articles", 
    "sdDatePublished": "2019-04-10T22:24", 
    "sdLicense": "https://scigraph.springernature.com/explorer/license/", 
    "sdPublisher": {
      "name": "Springer Nature - SN SciGraph project", 
      "type": "Organization"
    }, 
    "sdSource": "s3://com-uberresearch-data-dimensions-target-20181106-alternative/cleanup/v134/2549eaecd7973599484d7c17b260dba0a4ecb94b/merge/v9/a6c9fde33151104705d4d7ff012ea9563521a3ce/jats-lookup/v90/0000000001_0000000264/records_8690_00000481.jsonl", 
    "type": "ScholarlyArticle", 
    "url": "http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9"
  }
]
 

Download the RDF metadata as:  json-ld nt turtle xml License info

HOW TO GET THIS DATA PROGRAMMATICALLY:

JSON-LD is a popular format for linked data which is fully compatible with JSON.

curl -H 'Accept: application/ld+json' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9'

N-Triples is a line-based linked data format ideal for batch operations.

curl -H 'Accept: application/n-triples' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9'

Turtle is a human-readable linked data format.

curl -H 'Accept: text/turtle' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9'

RDF/XML is a standard XML format for linked data.

curl -H 'Accept: application/rdf+xml' 'https://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9'


 

This table displays all metadata directly associated to this object as RDF triples.

254 TRIPLES      21 PREDICATES      80 URIs      19 LITERALS      7 BLANK NODES

Subject Predicate Object
1 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9 schema:about anzsrc-for:04
2 anzsrc-for:0401
3 schema:author Ne5c31f83b0804311807b090560a05bf2
4 schema:citation sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8
5 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8
6 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8
7 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6
8 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x
9 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1287-2
10 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4
11 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1571-1
12 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3
13 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5
14 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1
15 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-011-0076-y
16 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z
17 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-012-0430-8
18 sg:pub.10.1023/a:1005466909820
19 sg:pub.10.1023/a:1026035305597
20 sg:pub.10.1038/nature05095
21 sg:pub.10.1038/nature08823
22 sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1562
23 sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1716
24 https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50256
25 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1556
26 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3607
27 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3659
28 https://doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00114-6
29 https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd005919
30 https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jd009254
31 https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043730
32 https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl045137
33 https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl046864
34 https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl049863
35 https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl050738
36 https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052665
37 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0601798103
38 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0812721106
39 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034009
40 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2076
41 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2077
42 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0283
43 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00189.x
44 https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3721:conaaf>2.0.co;2
45 https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1980)037<0099:otdocc>2.0.co;2
46 https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli1763.1
47 https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli2119.1
48 https://doi.org/10.1175/2009bams2607.1
49 https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3361.1
50 https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jcli3873.1
51 https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-88-9-1383
52 https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1
53 https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00285.1
54 https://doi.org/10.1890/11-0314.1
55 https://doi.org/10.22499/2.6104.003
56 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-2009-2010
57 schema:datePublished 2014-02
58 schema:datePublishedReg 2014-02-01
59 schema:description We review the ideas behind the pattern scaling technique, and focus on its value and limitations given its use for impact assessment and within integrated assessment models. We present estimates of patterns for temperature and precipitation change from the latest transient simulations available from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), focusing on multi-model mean patterns, and characterizing the sources of variability of these patterns across models and scenarios. The patterns are compared to those obtained from the previous set of experiments, under CMIP3. We estimate the significance of the emerging differences between CMIP3 and CMIP5 results through a bootstrap exercise, while also taking into account the fundamental differences in scenario and model ensemble composition. All in all, the robustness of the geographical features in patterns of temperature and precipitation, when computed as multi-model means, is confirmed by this comparison. The intensity of the change (in both the warmer and cooler areas with respect to global temperature change, and the drier and wetter regions) is overall heightened per degree of global warming in the ensemble mean of the new simulations. The presence of stabilized scenarios in the new set of simulations allows investigation of the performance of the technique once the system has gotten close to equilibrium. Overall, the well established validity of the technique in approximating the forced signal of change under increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases is confirmed.
60 schema:genre research_article
61 schema:inLanguage en
62 schema:isAccessibleForFree false
63 schema:isPartOf N2ad915b6fb364a438702d8d1744f0416
64 N87d86b3fab00469c8b92b44b757a4ad2
65 sg:journal.1028211
66 schema:name Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations
67 schema:pagination 459-471
68 schema:productId N9dad3435c33b49048e5e91edeee6e7fd
69 Ne186b19fbcca4c609fc84708a80b8bb5
70 Ne524a8e225eb477cb3f4026b718b17c8
71 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1023842732
72 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9
73 schema:sdDatePublished 2019-04-10T22:24
74 schema:sdLicense https://scigraph.springernature.com/explorer/license/
75 schema:sdPublisher Nd48b5f4a796448c4bb88fac39cc2ab5d
76 schema:url http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9
77 sgo:license sg:explorer/license/
78 sgo:sdDataset articles
79 rdf:type schema:ScholarlyArticle
80 N2ad915b6fb364a438702d8d1744f0416 schema:issueNumber 3
81 rdf:type schema:PublicationIssue
82 N62c3527a1ebc4cddb6c8cfca2965f50f rdf:first sg:person.011452203137.38
83 rdf:rest rdf:nil
84 N87d86b3fab00469c8b92b44b757a4ad2 schema:volumeNumber 122
85 rdf:type schema:PublicationVolume
86 N9dad3435c33b49048e5e91edeee6e7fd schema:name dimensions_id
87 schema:value pub.1023842732
88 rdf:type schema:PropertyValue
89 Nd48b5f4a796448c4bb88fac39cc2ab5d schema:name Springer Nature - SN SciGraph project
90 rdf:type schema:Organization
91 Ne186b19fbcca4c609fc84708a80b8bb5 schema:name doi
92 schema:value 10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9
93 rdf:type schema:PropertyValue
94 Ne524a8e225eb477cb3f4026b718b17c8 schema:name readcube_id
95 schema:value 719705f12cc380e8b635b0a07f80c9b42b89688cd6d0f8c07c9b02344e032b4f
96 rdf:type schema:PropertyValue
97 Ne5c31f83b0804311807b090560a05bf2 rdf:first sg:person.015561030205.29
98 rdf:rest N62c3527a1ebc4cddb6c8cfca2965f50f
99 anzsrc-for:04 schema:inDefinedTermSet anzsrc-for:
100 schema:name Earth Sciences
101 rdf:type schema:DefinedTerm
102 anzsrc-for:0401 schema:inDefinedTermSet anzsrc-for:
103 schema:name Atmospheric Sciences
104 rdf:type schema:DefinedTerm
105 sg:grant.4320585 http://pending.schema.org/fundedItem sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9
106 rdf:type schema:MonetaryGrant
107 sg:grant.4322309 http://pending.schema.org/fundedItem sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-013-1032-9
108 rdf:type schema:MonetaryGrant
109 sg:journal.1028211 schema:issn 0165-0009
110 1573-1480
111 schema:name Climatic Change
112 rdf:type schema:Periodical
113 sg:person.011452203137.38 schema:affiliation https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.1527.1
114 schema:familyName Arblaster
115 schema:givenName Julie M.
116 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.011452203137.38
117 rdf:type schema:Person
118 sg:person.015561030205.29 schema:affiliation https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.57828.30
119 schema:familyName Tebaldi
120 schema:givenName Claudia
121 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/discover/publication?and_facet_researcher=ur.015561030205.29
122 rdf:type schema:Person
123 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1052171603
124 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8
125 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
126 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051943278
127 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0352-8
128 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
129 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1042898397
130 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8
131 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
132 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1001203373
133 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6
134 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
135 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021861148
136 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x
137 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
138 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1287-2 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1048486891
139 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1287-2
140 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
141 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050447974
142 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4
143 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
144 sg:pub.10.1007/s00382-012-1571-1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1012359911
145 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1571-1
146 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
147 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002503490
148 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9222-3
149 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
150 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1018059990
151 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9737-5
152 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
153 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1045216985
154 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9765-1
155 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
156 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-011-0076-y schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1003939402
157 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0076-y
158 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
159 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021241034
160 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z
161 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
162 sg:pub.10.1007/s10584-012-0430-8 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1008166853
163 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0430-8
164 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
165 sg:pub.10.1023/a:1005466909820 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1045135939
166 https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1005466909820
167 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
168 sg:pub.10.1023/a:1026035305597 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1035832790
169 https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1026035305597
170 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
171 sg:pub.10.1038/nature05095 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043618867
172 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05095
173 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
174 sg:pub.10.1038/nature08823 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1006069800
175 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823
176 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
177 sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1562 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028376412
178 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1562
179 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
180 sg:pub.10.1038/nclimate1716 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002144786
181 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1716
182 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
183 https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50256 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1002331309
184 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
185 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1556 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1034463263
186 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
187 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3607 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1022089221
188 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
189 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3659 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1026912976
190 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
191 https://doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00114-6 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050821126
192 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
193 https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd005919 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021842425
194 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
195 https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jd009254 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016330405
196 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
197 https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043730 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016635449
198 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
199 https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl045137 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051794763
200 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
201 https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl046864 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043462392
202 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
203 https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl049863 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1001874069
204 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
205 https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl050738 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050552335
206 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
207 https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052665 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1024425361
208 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
209 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0601798103 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1021354878
210 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
211 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0812721106 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1016312707
212 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
213 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034009 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1013942303
214 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
215 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2076 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1038869427
216 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
217 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2077 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1053387847
218 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
219 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0283 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1003324317
220 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
221 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00189.x schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1007670163
222 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
223 https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3721:conaaf>2.0.co;2 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1005958485
224 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
225 https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1980)037<0099:otdocc>2.0.co;2 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1047497524
226 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
227 https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli1763.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1022671741
228 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
229 https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli2119.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1023901703
230 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
231 https://doi.org/10.1175/2009bams2607.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1063454096
232 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
233 https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3361.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1030337444
234 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
235 https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jcli3873.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1032186248
236 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
237 https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-88-9-1383 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1010559256
238 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
239 https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1051805105
240 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
241 https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00285.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1048238456
242 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
243 https://doi.org/10.1890/11-0314.1 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1028096299
244 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
245 https://doi.org/10.22499/2.6104.003 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1083991114
246 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
247 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-2009-2010 schema:sameAs https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1027734743
248 rdf:type schema:CreativeWork
249 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.1527.1 schema:alternateName Bureau of Meteorology
250 schema:name NCAR and Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
251 rdf:type schema:Organization
252 https://www.grid.ac/institutes/grid.57828.30 schema:alternateName National Center for Atmospheric Research
253 schema:name Climate and Global Dynamics, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), 1850 Table Mesa dr., 80305, Boulder, CO, USA
254 rdf:type schema:Organization
 




Preview window. Press ESC to close (or click here)


...