On interpreting hydrological change from regional climate models View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2007-03-23

AUTHORS

L. Phil Graham, Stefan Hagemann, Simon Jaun, Martin Beniston

ABSTRACT

Although representation of hydrology is included in all regional climate models (RCMs), the utility of hydrological results from RCMs varies considerably from model to model. Studies to evaluate and compare the hydrological components of a suite of RCMs and their use in assessing hydrological impacts from future climate change were carried out over Europe. This included using different methods to transfer RCM runoff directly to river discharge and coupling different RCMs to offline hydrological models using different methods to transfer the climate change signal between models. The work focused on drainage areas to the Baltic Basin, the Bothnian Bay Basin and the Rhine Basin. A total of 20 anthropogenic climate change scenario simulations from 11 different RCMs were used. One conclusion is that choice of GCM (global climate model) has a larger impact on projected hydrological change than either selection of emissions scenario or RCM used for downscaling. More... »

PAGES

97-122

References to SciGraph publications

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  • 2007-03-17. Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE project in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2007-03-20. Gradient in the climate change signal of European discharge predicted by a multi-model ensemble in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2007-03-17. A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2003-01. Snow pack in the Swiss Alps under changing climatic conditions: an empirical approach for climate impacts studies in THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
  • 2007-03-17. Assessing climate change impacts on hydrology from an ensemble of regional climate models, model scales and linking methods – a case study on the Lule River basin in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2001-04. Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Regimes and Water Resources Management in the Rhine Basin in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2007-03-17. An inter-comparison of regional climate models for Europe: model performance in present-day climate in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2007-03-20. An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2001-03. Flood Events in the Rhine Basin: Genesis, Influences and Mitigation in NATURAL HAZARDS
  • 2003-11-26. Estimates of snow accumulation and volume in the Swiss Alps under changing climatic conditions in THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
  • 2004-01. Potential Implications of PCM Climate Change Scenarios for Sacramento–San Joaquin River Basin Hydrology and Water Resources in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • 2007-03-20. Present-day and future precipitation in the Baltic Sea region as simulated in a suite of regional climate models in CLIMATIC CHANGE
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10584-006-9217-0

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9217-0

    DIMENSIONS

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