EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2013-07-23

AUTHORS

Daniela Jacob, Juliane Petersen, Bastian Eggert, Antoinette Alias, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Laurens M. Bouwer, Alain Braun, Augustin Colette, Michel Déqué, Goran Georgievski, Elena Georgopoulou, Andreas Gobiet, Laurent Menut, Grigory Nikulin, Andreas Haensler, Nils Hempelmann, Colin Jones, Klaus Keuler, Sari Kovats, Nico Kröner, Sven Kotlarski, Arne Kriegsmann, Eric Martin, Erik van Meijgaard, Christopher Moseley, Susanne Pfeifer, Swantje Preuschmann, Christine Radermacher, Kai Radtke, Diana Rechid, Mark Rounsevell, Patrick Samuelsson, Samuel Somot, Jean-Francois Soussana, Claas Teichmann, Riccardo Valentini, Robert Vautard, Björn Weber, Pascal Yiou

ABSTRACT

A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities. More... »

PAGES

563-578

Journal

TITLE

Regional Environmental Change

ISSUE

2

VOLUME

14

Author Affiliations

  • Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPIM), Bundesstr. 53, 20146, Hamburg, Germany
  • Climate Service Center (CSC), Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany
  • Météo-France/CNRS, Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM-GAME), 42, Avenue Gaspard Coriolis, 31057, Toulouse Cedex 1, France
  • Danish Climate Centre, Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), Lyngbyvej 100, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark
  • Deltares, PO Box 177, 2600 MH, Delft, The Netherlands
  • Institut National de l’Environnement Industriel et des Risques (INERIS), 60550, Verneuil-en-Halatte, France
  • Environmental Meteorology, Brandenburg University of Technology, Burger Chaussee 2, 03013, Cottbus, Germany
  • Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development (IERSD), National Observatory of Athens, 118 10, Thissio, Greece
  • Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change and Institute for Geophysics, Astrophysics, and Meteorology, University of Graz, Brandhofgasse 5, 8010, Graz, Austria
  • Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (IPSL), Ecole Polytechnique, 91128, Palaiseau Cedex, France
  • Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Folkborgsvägen 17, 601 76, Norrköping, Sweden
  • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, WC1H 9 SH, London, UK
  • Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Universitätsstraße 16, 8092, Zurich, Switzerland
  • Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), Wilhelminalaan 10, 3732 GK, De Bilt, The Netherlands
  • David Kinloch Michie Chair of Rural Economy & Environmental Sustainability, Institute of Geography & the Lived Environment, School of GeoSciences, The University of Edinburgh, Drummond Street, EH8 9XP, Edinburgh, UK
  • INRA, UR874, Grassland Ecosystems Research (UREP), Clermont-Ferrand, France
  • Euro–Mediterranean Center for Climate Change, Via De Lellis, 01100, Viterbo, Italy
  • Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, Gif sur Yvette, France
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

    DIMENSIONS

    https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1015254889


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    464 grid-institutes:grid.8663.b schema:alternateName Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development (IERSD), National Observatory of Athens, 118 10, Thissio, Greece
    465 schema:name Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development (IERSD), National Observatory of Athens, 118 10, Thissio, Greece
    466 rdf:type schema:Organization
    467 grid-institutes:grid.8842.6 schema:alternateName Environmental Meteorology, Brandenburg University of Technology, Burger Chaussee 2, 03013, Cottbus, Germany
    468 schema:name Environmental Meteorology, Brandenburg University of Technology, Burger Chaussee 2, 03013, Cottbus, Germany
    469 rdf:type schema:Organization
    470 grid-institutes:grid.8991.9 schema:alternateName London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, WC1H 9 SH, London, UK
    471 schema:name London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, WC1H 9 SH, London, UK
    472 rdf:type schema:Organization
     




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