Prediction model for curative endoscopic submucosal dissection of undifferentiated-type early gastric cancer View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

2021-03-16

AUTHORS

Hyo-Joon Yang, Moon Kyung Joo, Jae Myung Park, Ji Yong Ahn, Jae-Young Jang, Joo Hyun Lim, Su Youn Nam, Jie-Hyun Kim, Byung-Hoon Min, Wan-Sik Lee, Bong Eun Lee, Woon Geon Shin, Hang Lak Lee, Tae-Geun Gweon, Moo In Park, Jeongmin Choi, Chung Hyun Tae, Young-Il Kim, Keun Won Ryu, Il Ju Choi

ABSTRACT

BackgroundEndoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is an effective treatment for early gastric cancer (EGC); however, its curative resection rate is low for undifferentiated-type EGC. We developed and externally validated a prediction model for curative ESD of undifferentiated-type EGC.MethodsIn this cross-sectional study, we included 448 patients who underwent ESD for undifferentiated-type EGC at 18 hospitals in Korea between 2005 and 2015 in the development cohort and 1342 patients who underwent surgery at two hospitals in the validation cohort. A prediction model was developed using the logistic regression model.ResultsEndoscopic tumor size 1–2 cm (odds ratio [OR], 2.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.54–3.73), tumor size > 2 cm (OR, 14.00; 95% CI 6.81–28.77), and proximal tumor location from the lower to upper third of the stomach (OR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.03–2.04) were independent predictors of non-curative ESD. A six-score prediction model was developed by assigning points to endoscopic tumor size > 2 cm (five points), tumor size 1–2 cm (two points), upper third location (two points), and middle third location (one point). The rate of curative ESD ranged from 70.6% (score 0) to 11.6% (score 5) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.720 (95% CI 0.673–0.766). The model also showed good performance in the validation cohort (AUC, 0.775; 95% CI 0.748–0.803).ConclusionsThis six-score prediction model may help in predicting curative ESD and making informed decisions about the treatment selection between ESD and surgery for undifferentiated-type EGC. More... »

PAGES

1414-1423

References to SciGraph publications

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  • Journal

    TITLE

    Surgical Endoscopy

    ISSUE

    2

    VOLUME

    36

    Author Affiliations

  • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine and Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, 148, Gurodong-ro, Guro-gu, 08308, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary′s Hospital, The Catholic University of Korea, 222 Banpo-daero, Seocho-gu, 06591, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Healthcare Research Institute, Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Gastroenterology, Kyungpook National University Hospital, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Republic of Korea
  • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Chonnam National University Medical School, Gwangju, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary′s Hospital, The Catholic University of Korea, College of Medicine, Incheon, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Kosin University College of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Sanggye Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Department of Internal Medicine, Ewha Womans University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  • Center for Gastric Cancer, Research Institute and Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Republic of Korea
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s00464-021-08426-w

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00464-021-08426-w

    DIMENSIONS

    https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1136443813

    PUBMED

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33725190


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