On summing the components of radiative forcing of climate change View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

2001-12

AUTHORS

O. Boucher, J. Haywood

ABSTRACT

Radiative forcing is a useful concept in determining the potential influence of a particular mechanism of climate change. However, due to the increased number of forcing agents identified over the past decade, the total radiative forcing is difficult to assess. By assigning a range of probability distribution functions to the individual radiative forcings and using a Monte-Carlo approach, we estimate the total radiative forcing since pre-industrial times including all quantitative radiative forcing estimates to date. The resulting total radiative forcing has a 75–97% probability of being positive (or similarly a 3–25% probability of being negative), with mean radiative forcing ranging from +0.68 to +1.34 W m−2, and median radiative forcing ranging from +0.94 to +1.39 W m−2. More... »

PAGES

297-302

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s003820100185

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s003820100185

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1043744883


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