Is the market really a good teacher? View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle      Open Access: True


Article Info

DATE

2019-03

AUTHORS

Pascal Seppecher, Isabelle Salle, Dany Lang

ABSTRACT

This paper proposes to model market mechanisms as a collective learning process for firms in a complex adaptive system, namely Jamel, an agent-based, stock-flow consistent macroeconomic model. Inspired by Alchian’s (J Polit Econ: 5(3):211–221, 1950) “blanketing shotgun process” idea, our learning model is an ever-adapting process that puts a significant weight on exploration vis-à-vis exploitation. We show that decentralized market selection allows firms collectively to adapt their overall debt strategies to the changes in the macroeconomic environment so that the system sustains itself, but at the cost of recurrent deep downturns. We conclude that, in complex evolving economies, market processes do not lead to the selection of optimal behaviors, as the characterization of successful behaviors itself constantly evolves as a result of the market conditions that these behaviors contribute to shaping. Heterogeneity in behavior remains essential to adaptation. We come to an evolutionary characterization of a crisis, as the point where the evolution of the macroeconomic system becomes faster than the adaptation capabilities of the agents that populate it. More... »

PAGES

1-37

References to SciGraph publications

  • 1994-09. Collective learning, innovation and growth in a boundedly rational, evolutionary world in JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY ECONOMICS
  • 2011-01. Income Distribution in a Stock-Flow Consistent Model with Education and Technological Change in EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
  • 2009-08-06. The economy needs agent-based modelling in NATURE
  • 2008-10. Adaptive Microfoundations for Emergent Macroeconomics in EASTERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
  • 2002. Genetic Algorithm Learning and Economic Evolution in EVOLUTIONARY COMPUTATION IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
  • 2016-03. Increasing inequality, consumer credit and financial fragility in an agent based macroeconomic model in JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY ECONOMICS
  • 2015-10. An agent based decentralized matching macroeconomic model in JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC INTERACTION AND COORDINATION
  • 2010-12. Complex agent-based macroeconomics: a manifesto for a new paradigm in JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC INTERACTION AND COORDINATION
  • Identifiers

    URI

    http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/s00191-018-0571-7

    DOI

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00191-018-0571-7

    DIMENSIONS

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