Greenhouse gas induced climate change View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:ScholarlyArticle     


Article Info

DATE

1996-06

AUTHORS

Gabriele C. Hegerl, Ulrich Cubasch

ABSTRACT

Simulations using global coupled climate models predict a climate change due to the increasing concentration of greenhouse gases and aerosols in the atmosphere. Both are associated with the burning of fossil fuels. There has been considerable debate if this postulated human influence is already evident. This paper gives an overview on some recent material on this question. One particular study using optimal fingerprints (Hegerl et al., 1996) is explained in more detail. In this study, an optimal fingerprint analysis is applied to temperature trend patterns over several decades. The results show the probability being less than 5% that the most recently observed 30 year trend is due to naturally occurring climate fluctuations. This result suggests that the present warming is caused by some external influence on climate, e.g. by the increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols. More work is needed to address the uncertainties in the magnitude of naturally occurring climate fluctuations. Also, other external influences on climate need to be investigated to uniquely attribute the present climate change to the human influence. More... »

PAGES

99-102

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/bf02985499

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf02985499

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1032045336

PUBMED

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24234957


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