Simulated climate and CO2—Induced climate change over Western Europe View Full Text


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Article Info

DATE

1987-02

AUTHORS

C. A. Wilson, J. F. B. Mitchell

ABSTRACT

The use of a relatively high resolution general circulation model (the Meteorological Office 5-layer model) to determine climate changes for impact studies is evaluated. The simulation of present day climate over Western Europe is assessed by comparing not only different seasons with climatological data, but also the mean annual cycle and the frequency of extreme events. It is found that while the broad features of the simulation are satisfactory, the model produces too many cold episodes in spring, and an excessive number of wet days over northern Europe. When atmospheric CO2 concentrations are quadrupled, and sea surface temperatures and sea ice extents changed appropriately, the number of cold episodes is reduced and precipitation is less frequent in summer and autumn over much of Europe, and throughout the year in the south. The relevance of both the model data and the statistical tests to climate impact studies is discussed. More... »

PAGES

11-42

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/bf00140555

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf00140555

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1050205673


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