Predictability and Uncertainty View Full Text


Ontology type: schema:Chapter     


Chapter Info

DATE

2004

AUTHORS

Roger A. Pielke , Gerhard Petschel-Held , Pavel Kabat , Brad Bass , Michael F. Hutchinson , Vijay Gupta , Roger A. Pielke , Martin Claussen , Dennis Shoji Ojima

ABSTRACT

It is appropriate to consider water quantity and water quality as two facets of water resources. Both facets are intimately connected to the hydrological cycle, which itself is a component of the Earth’s climate System. Since human activities and health are so connected to water resources, it is essential to determine how far into the future we can predict the condition of the water resources of a region with a sufficient level of confidence. When predictions are not possible, resilience must be built into a water System so that human (and natural) needs are not negatively affected. Even when skillful predictions are possible, they are seldom completely accurate. Thus uncertainty needs to be included when scientific analyses and predictions are used for water resource planning and management, particularly for issues such as adaptation or risk management. The prediction of weather and climate are essential aspects of planning for water resources in changing environmental conditions. More... »

PAGES

485-490

Book

TITLE

Vegetation, Water, Humans and the Climate

ISBN

978-3-642-62373-8
978-3-642-18948-7

Identifiers

URI

http://scigraph.springernature.com/pub.10.1007/978-3-642-18948-7_40

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18948-7_40

DIMENSIONS

https://app.dimensions.ai/details/publication/pub.1003987458


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